Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.000202 0.000227 0.000252 0.000282 0.000315 0.000351 0.000393
2024-12-22 0.000168 0.000200 0.000237 0.000282 0.000336 0.000398 0.000476
2024-12-29 0.000142 0.000180 0.000224 0.000282 0.000355 0.000444 0.000561
2025-01-05 0.000121 0.000161 0.000211 0.000278 0.000368 0.000483 0.000641
2025-01-12 0.000106 0.000147 0.000201 0.000278 0.000384 0.000526 0.000731
2025-01-19 0.000095 0.000137 0.000195 0.000280 0.000402 0.000573 0.000830
2025-01-26 0.000084 0.000126 0.000185 0.000276 0.000412 0.000609 0.000915
2025-02-02 0.000079 0.000123 0.000187 0.000288 0.000446 0.000681 0.001060
2025-02-09 0.000073 0.000117 0.000184 0.000293 0.000467 0.000736 0.001185
2025-02-16 0.000068 0.000111 0.000180 0.000296 0.000486 0.000789 0.001311
2025-02-23 0.000062 0.000105 0.000175 0.000295 0.000499 0.000833 0.001425
2025-03-02 0.000056 0.000098 0.000167 0.000290 0.000504 0.000863 0.001518
2025-03-09 0.000052 0.000092 0.000162 0.000289 0.000517 0.000912 0.001651
2025-03-16 0.000048 0.000088 0.000158 0.000290 0.000533 0.000966 0.001799
2025-03-23 0.000044 0.000083 0.000154 0.000290 0.000549 0.001020 0.001955
2025-03-30 0.000040 0.000078 0.000148 0.000287 0.000556 0.001060 0.002087
2025-04-06 0.000037 0.000075 0.000144 0.000286 0.000570 0.001114 0.002250
2025-04-13 0.000035 0.000072 0.000142 0.000288 0.000588 0.001177 0.002437
2025-04-20 0.000032 0.000067 0.000137 0.000285 0.000594 0.001217 0.002582
2025-04-27 0.000032 0.000067 0.000140 0.000297 0.000635 0.001331 0.002893
2025-05-04 0.000030 0.000065 0.000139 0.000302 0.000659 0.001412 0.003140
2025-05-11 0.000028 0.000063 0.000137 0.000305 0.000680 0.001489 0.003387
2025-05-18 0.000027 0.000061 0.000134 0.000304 0.000693 0.001549 0.003602